The hypergeometric distribution models counts of successes in a fixed-size sample drawn without replacement from a finite population. Students need this reference because it separates hypergeometric settings from binomial settings, which is a common source of errors in statistics. It is especially useful for card problems, quality control, auditing, biology sampling, and survey selection.
The cheat sheet summarizes the model setup, probability formula, parameter restrictions, and interpretation of results.
The core idea is that a population of size contains successes and failures, and a sample of size is drawn without replacement. If is the number of successes in the sample, then . The probability mass function is , with restricted to feasible values.
The mean is , and the variance is .
Key Facts
- The hypergeometric distribution applies when sampling items without replacement from a finite population of size containing successes.
- If counts successes in the sample, write .
- The probability mass function is .
- The support is , where must be an integer.
- The mean is .
- The variance is .
- The factor is the finite population correction that makes the variance smaller than the binomial variance.
- For large with small sampling fraction , a binomial approximation with is often reasonable.
Vocabulary
- Population size
- The total number of objects in the finite population, usually denoted by .
- Success states
- The number of population objects that have the characteristic being counted, usually denoted by .
- Sample size
- The number of objects drawn from the population without replacement, usually denoted by .
- Support
- The set of possible integer values of , from to .
- Probability mass function
- A formula that gives for each possible value of a discrete random variable.
- Finite population correction
- The multiplier that adjusts variance because draws are made without replacement.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Using the binomial distribution automatically is wrong because hypergeometric trials are not independent when sampling is without replacement.
- Letting take impossible values is wrong because must satisfy .
- Forgetting the failure term is wrong because a complete sample includes both selected successes and selected failures.
- Using and interchangeably is wrong because is the number of successes in the population, while is the number of draws.
- Computing variance as is wrong for an exact hypergeometric model because it omits the finite population correction .
Practice Questions
- 1 A box contains parts, of which are defective. If parts are selected without replacement, find where is the number of defective parts.
- 2 A committee of people is chosen from students, including seniors. Find the probability that exactly committee members are seniors.
- 3 For , compute and .
- 4 Explain why drawing cards from a standard deck and counting hearts is modeled by a hypergeometric distribution rather than a binomial distribution.