Math Grade 6-8

Theoretical vs Experimental Probability

Compare expected chances with real results

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Compare expected chances with real results

Math - Grade 6-8

Instructions: Read each problem carefully. Show your work and write probabilities as fractions, decimals, or percents when asked.
  1. 1
    A fair die with four pips showing on the top face.

    A fair number cube has faces numbered 1 through 6. What is the theoretical probability of rolling a 4?

  2. 2
    A plain coin shown flipping through the air.

    Maya flips a fair coin 40 times and gets heads 18 times. What is the experimental probability of getting heads?

  3. 3
    A spinner divided into four equal red, blue, green, and yellow sections.

    A spinner has 4 equal sections: red, blue, green, and yellow. What is the theoretical probability of landing on green?

  4. 4
    A bag containing red, blue, and yellow marbles.

    A bag contains 3 red marbles, 2 blue marbles, and 5 yellow marbles. What is the theoretical probability of picking a blue marble without looking?

  5. 5
    A die showing six pips with markers suggesting repeated rolls.

    A student rolls a fair number cube 60 times and rolls a 6 exactly 8 times. What is the experimental probability of rolling a 6?

  6. 6
    Die faces with the even outcomes highlighted.

    For a fair number cube, the theoretical probability of rolling an even number is 3/6, or 1/2. If Jamal rolls the cube 20 times, should he always get exactly 10 even numbers? Explain.

  7. 7
    A spinner with four purple sections and six orange sections.

    A spinner has 10 equal sections. There are 4 purple sections and 6 orange sections. What is the theoretical probability of landing on purple?

  8. 8
    A basketball player shooting a free throw.

    A basketball player makes 12 out of 20 free throws during practice. What is the experimental probability that the player makes a free throw?

  9. 9
    A coin and a group of flipped coins showing two possible sides.

    A fair coin is flipped once. Find the theoretical probability of tails. Then compare it to an experiment where tails happened 7 times in 10 flips.

  10. 10
    A fanned deck of cards with a heart card in front.

    A card is chosen from a standard deck of 52 cards. There are 13 hearts in the deck. What is the theoretical probability of choosing a heart?

  11. 11
    A colored spinner beside bars showing results, with yellow tallest.

    The table shows the results of spinning a spinner 50 times: red 14 times, blue 11 times, green 10 times, and yellow 15 times. What is the experimental probability of landing on yellow?

  12. 12
    A bag with many white tiles and one green tile.

    A bag has 1 green tile and 9 white tiles. Without looking, a student picks one tile, replaces it, and repeats this 100 times. About how many times would you expect the student to pick the green tile?

  13. 13
    A die showing three pips with highlighted outcome markers.

    Lena rolls a fair number cube 12 times and gets a 3 five times. The theoretical probability of rolling a 3 is 1/6. Is her experimental probability greater than, less than, or equal to the theoretical probability?

  14. 14
    A spinner divided into eight sections with two blue sections highlighted.

    A spinner is divided into 8 equal sections. Three sections are labeled A, two sections are labeled B, and three sections are labeled C. Find the theoretical probability of landing on B.

  15. 15
    A paper cup dropping and another cup landing open side up.

    In an experiment, a paper cup lands open side up 22 times out of 50 drops. The theoretical probability is not known. Can you find an experimental probability from the data? Explain.

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