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Sampling distributions describe how a statistic, such as a sample mean or sample proportion, varies from sample to sample. Students need this cheat sheet because inference in statistics depends on knowing the center, spread, and shape of these distributions. The Central Limit Theorem helps predict when sampling distributions are approximately normal. This makes confidence intervals and hypothesis tests possible even when population data are not perfectly normal. The most important ideas are that unbiased statistics are centered at the true population parameter and that larger samples produce less variability. For sample means, the standard error is σn\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} when the population standard deviation is known. For sample proportions, the standard error is p(1p)n\sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}}. The Central Limit Theorem says that for large enough nn, the sampling distribution of xˉ\bar{x} is approximately normal with mean μ\mu and standard deviation σn\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}.

Key Facts

  • A sampling distribution is the distribution of a statistic, such as xˉ\bar{x} or p^\hat{p}, from all possible samples of the same size nn.
  • The sampling distribution of the sample mean has mean μxˉ=μ\mu_{\bar{x}} = \mu when samples are random and independent.
  • The standard error of the sample mean is σxˉ=σn\sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} when the population standard deviation σ\sigma is known.
  • The Central Limit Theorem states that if nn is large, then xˉ\bar{x} is approximately normal with mean μ\mu and standard deviation σn\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}.
  • For a sample proportion, the sampling distribution has mean μp^=p\mu_{\hat{p}} = p and standard error σp^=p(1p)n\sigma_{\hat{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}}.
  • A sample proportion is approximately normal when np10np \ge 10 and n(1p)10n(1-p) \ge 10.
  • A sample mean is approximately normal if the population is normal or if the sample size is large, often n30n \ge 30.
  • Increasing sample size reduces standard error because both σn\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} and p(1p)n\sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}} get smaller as nn increases.

Vocabulary

Sampling distribution
A sampling distribution is the distribution of a statistic calculated from many random samples of the same size.
Statistic
A statistic is a number calculated from a sample, such as xˉ\bar{x} or p^\hat{p}.
Parameter
A parameter is a number that describes an entire population, such as μ\mu, σ\sigma, or pp.
Standard error
Standard error is the standard deviation of a sampling distribution and measures how much a statistic varies from sample to sample.
Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem states that sampling distributions of means become approximately normal as sample size increases.
Unbiased estimator
An unbiased estimator is a statistic whose sampling distribution is centered at the true population parameter.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Confusing σ\sigma with σxˉ\sigma_{\bar{x}} is wrong because σ\sigma describes individual population values, while σxˉ=σn\sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} describes sample means.
  • Using the Central Limit Theorem for very small skewed samples is wrong because xˉ\bar{x} may not be approximately normal unless the population is normal or nn is large enough.
  • Forgetting to divide by n\sqrt{n} in standard error is wrong because variability decreases with sample size, so σxˉ\sigma_{\bar{x}} is not equal to σ\sigma.
  • Checking only np10np \ge 10 for proportions is wrong because the normal approximation also requires n(1p)10n(1-p) \ge 10.
  • Treating one sample statistic as a sampling distribution is wrong because a sampling distribution describes the pattern of a statistic over many possible samples.

Practice Questions

  1. 1 A population has mean μ=80\mu = 80 and standard deviation σ=12\sigma = 12. For samples of size n=36n = 36, find μxˉ\mu_{\bar{x}} and σxˉ\sigma_{\bar{x}}.
  2. 2 A population proportion is p=0.40p = 0.40 and the sample size is n=100n = 100. Find the mean and standard error of p^\hat{p}.
  3. 3 A population has μ=50\mu = 50 and σ=10\sigma = 10. For samples of size n=25n = 25, find the zz-score for a sample mean of xˉ=54\bar{x} = 54.
  4. 4 Explain why increasing the sample size makes a sample mean more reliable as an estimate of the population mean.