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This cheat sheet explains how sample statistics vary from sample to sample and how that variation is measured. Students need these ideas to understand why different samples from the same population can give different results. Sampling distributions and standard error are the foundation for confidence intervals, hypothesis tests, and many real data investigations. The sheet helps students connect formulas to the meaning of uncertainty in statistics. The core idea is that a statistic, such as a sample mean or sample proportion, has its own distribution across many possible samples. The standard error measures the typical distance between a sample statistic and the true population parameter. For means, the standard error is SExˉ=σnSE_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} when the population standard deviation is known. For proportions, the standard error is SEp^=p(1p)nSE_{\hat{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}} when the true population proportion is known.

Key Facts

  • A sampling distribution is the distribution of a statistic, such as xˉ\bar{x} or p^\hat{p}, from many random samples of the same size.
  • The standard error of the sample mean is SExˉ=σnSE_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} when the population standard deviation σ\sigma is known.
  • If σ\sigma is unknown, the estimated standard error of the sample mean is SExˉsnSE_{\bar{x}} \approx \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}.
  • The standard error of a sample proportion is SEp^=p(1p)nSE_{\hat{p}} = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}} when the population proportion pp is known.
  • For confidence intervals using sample data, the estimated standard error for a proportion is SEp^p^(1p^)nSE_{\hat{p}} \approx \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}}.
  • The Central Limit Theorem says that the sampling distribution of xˉ\bar{x} becomes approximately normal as nn increases, especially when n30n \ge 30.
  • Increasing the sample size nn decreases standard error because SESE is divided by n\sqrt{n}.
  • A common confidence interval form is statistic±critical value×SE\text{statistic} \pm \text{critical value} \times SE.

Vocabulary

Sampling Distribution
The distribution of a statistic calculated from many random samples of the same size from one population.
Statistic
A number calculated from sample data, such as xˉ\bar{x} or p^\hat{p}, used to estimate a population parameter.
Parameter
A fixed but often unknown number that describes a population, such as μ\mu, σ\sigma, or pp.
Standard Error
The standard deviation of a sampling distribution, measuring the typical sampling variation of a statistic.
Central Limit Theorem
A theorem stating that many sampling distributions become approximately normal for large enough sample sizes.
Sample Size
The number of observations in a sample, represented by nn.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Confusing standard deviation with standard error is wrong because standard deviation measures spread in individual data values, while standard error measures spread in sample statistics.
  • Using SExˉ=σnSE_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma}{n} is wrong because the sample size affects standard error through n\sqrt{n}, so the correct formula is SExˉ=σnSE_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}.
  • Assuming every sampling distribution is normal is wrong because normality depends on the population shape, sample size, and conditions such as independence.
  • Forgetting to check random sampling or independence is wrong because standard error formulas rely on samples that are reasonably random and observations that are not strongly dependent.
  • Using pp when only p^\hat{p} is available can be wrong in real sample work because the true population proportion is usually unknown, so use SEp^p^(1p^)nSE_{\hat{p}} \approx \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}} for estimation.

Practice Questions

  1. 1 A population has standard deviation σ=12\sigma = 12, and samples of size n=36n = 36 are taken. Find SExˉSE_{\bar{x}}.
  2. 2 A survey finds p^=0.40\hat{p} = 0.40 from n=100n = 100 students. Estimate the standard error using SEp^p^(1p^)nSE_{\hat{p}} \approx \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}}.
  3. 3 If the sample size increases from n=25n = 25 to n=100n = 100 while σ\sigma stays the same, how does SExˉSE_{\bar{x}} change?
  4. 4 Explain why a larger sample size usually gives a more reliable estimate, even though it does not guarantee the sample statistic equals the population parameter.