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Correlation vs Causation Lab

Two things can rise and fall together for very different reasons. Study a scatter plot and its correlation value, read the headline claim, and decide whether it is direct causation, reverse causation, a hidden confounding variable, or just coincidence. Then reveal what is really going on.

Guided Experiment: Classify the Relationship

Which scenario do you predict is a real cause-and-effect relationship, and which is a trick?

Write your hypothesis in the Lab Report panel, then click Next.

Controls

Ice Cream and Drowning

"Eating ice cream causes drowning."

Ice cream salesDrownings

Correlation coefficient r = 1.00

What is the true relationship?

Is a third lurking variable driving both X and Y?

0 / 500
0 / 500
0 / 500

Reference Guide

Four Ways Two Things Can Be Linked

  • Direct causation. X really does make Y happen through a clear mechanism.
  • Reverse causation. The arrow points the other way. Y is actually causing X.
  • Confounding variable. A hidden third factor drives both X and Y at once.
  • Coincidence. The two trends line up by pure chance, with no link at all.

How to Use This Lab

  • Pick a scenario and a difficulty level.
  • Read the scatter plot, the correlation value r, and the headline claim.
  • Classify the true relationship, then reveal the explanation.
  • In Challenge mode, name the lurking variable behind confounding scenarios.
  • Record what you noticed in the lab report below.

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